Gold futures got slapped below $1430 an ounce in the Asia electronic
session today extending its last week’s losses. The sentiments for gold
were hurt by the recent cuts in the price forecasts by various
investment banks.
Downside tilt in gold began after the
investment bank Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said that gold's prospects for
the year have eroded, recommending investors close out long positions
and initiate bearish bets, or shorts. The shift in outlook was the
latest among banks and investors who have soured on gold as its
dozen-year runup has been followed by a 12% decline in the last six
months.
Goldman's note followed another major blow to the metal
last week from Société Générale. The French bank declared "The End of
the Gold Era" in the title of its report, positing not just the
possibility of a bear market but an outright crash and saying "gold may
have had its last hurrah."
Deutsche Bank and UBS both cut their average gold price forecasts yesterday, to $1637 and $1740 respectively.
Gold
for June delivery are trading $61 at $ 1440 an ounce on the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. On Friday, it dropped
$63.50, or 4.1%, to settle at $1,501.40 an ounce, after dipping to a low
of $1,491.40. It fell 4.7% for the week.
In the coming week, the
U.S. is to publish a broad range of economic data, with reports on
manufacturing activity, the housing sector and inflation due for
release.
Investors will be closely watching this data as they
attempt to gauge the strength of the U.S. recovery. Any improvement in
the U.S. economy could scale back expectations for further easing.
On
Friday, data showed that U.S. retail sales fell 0.4% in March, the
largest decline in nine months and missing expectations for a 0.1%
increase. A separate report showed that the preliminary reading of the
University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell to 72.3 in April,
the lowest level since July, from a final reading of 78.6 in March.
MCX June gold futures may open today’s session near Rs 26500 levels with support near Rs 26000 and Rs 25000 levels.
22:36
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